Stamped snapshot9 Sep 2026, 17:43

This snapshot shows a condensed version of Mantic's analysis — the full breakdown is available in the Mantic app. The live forecast may have changed.

INPE's PRODES annual Brazilian Amazon deforestation rate for the 2029 measurement year (August 2028–July 2029), in square kilometres

Clarifications: Use INPE's PRODES estimate for deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon for the measurement year August 2028 through July 2029, reported in square kilometres. Resolve using the annual PRODES figure that corresponds to that measurement year. If INPE publishes more than one related number, use the main annual deforestation area for the Brazilian Amazon under PRODES, not interim satellite alerts or figures for other biomes.

Published Sep 9, 2026 3 PM · Reliable information cutoff date: Sep 9, 2026 1 PM

3.09K

10K

15K

Most likely: 3.09K

50% range

80% range

Summary One page

My most likely prediction for INPE's PRODES annual Brazilian Amazon deforestation rate for the 2029 measurement year is 3,086.35 km² because sustained near-real-time declines from vigorous PPCDAm command-and-control enforcement will drive substantial reductions from baseline levels, even as statutory legal clearing minimums and upside risks from the Soy Moratorium's erosion limit further decreases.

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Base mean5,634.823 scenarios modelled

If YES If NO

The winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election · Flávio Bolsonaro 43%
The winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 53%
The winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election · Augusto Cury 1%

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