Stamped snapshot

The EU aggregate gas storage fill level on 1 November 2026

This snapshot shows a condensed version of Mantic's analysis — the full breakdown is available in the Mantic app. The live forecast may have changed.

Most likely value

74.82%

As of 31 Jul 2026, 13:47 UTC

Forecast distribution

50%80%

Rationale

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My most likely prediction for the EU aggregate gas storage fill level on 1 November 2026 is 74.82% because the record-low 28% starting level in April, combined with supply disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz crisis and high Asian demand for US LNG, has made the necessary injection rates for higher targets commercially and logistically unattainable.

Forecast record

Forecast context

Clarifications

This question resolves to the aggregated European Union gas storage fill level, expressed as a percentage of working gas volume, for gas day 1 November 2026, as published by Gas Infrastructure Europe on the AGSI+ platform (https://agsi.gie.eu).

The figure used is the full field of the EU aggregate series, retrieved via the AGSI+ API with the parameter country=eu. This aggregate covers European Union member states only and excludes the United Kingdom, Ukraine, and Serbia, which AGSI+ reports separately.

This question resolves using the value carrying a data quality status of "Confirmed" in the AGSI+ dataset. If the figure for gas day 1 November 2026 still carries a status of "Estimated" on 1 December 2026, this question resolves to the value published as of 1 December 2026, and is not revised in light of any later restatement.

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The EU aggregate gas storage fill level on 1 November 2026 | Mantic