Stamped snapshot

The Bank of Ghana reports Ghana's cocoa export receipts for calendar 2027, in nominal USD billions

This snapshot shows a condensed version of Mantic's analysis — the full breakdown is available in the Mantic app. The live forecast may have changed.

Most likely value

3.0 USD billions

As of 10 Nov 2026, 13:39 UTC

Forecast distribution

50%80%

Rationale

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My most likely value for Ghana's initially reported 2027 cocoa export receipts is US$3.0 billion, because CMC expects the 2026/27 crop to fall to 470,000–620,000 tonnes.

Forecast breakdown

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Forecast record

Forecast context

Bank of Ghana external-sector statistics report cocoa export receipts separately from gold, oil and other exports. The series includes cocoa beans and processed cocoa products. Its July 2026 Summary of Economic and Financial Data reports calendar-2025 cocoa exports of USD 4,000.8 million. Source: https://www.bog.gov.gh/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/Summary-of-Economic-and-Financial-Data-July-2026.pdf

Clarifications

Resolves to the Bank of Ghana's Cocoa Exports total for the full calendar year 1 January-31 December 2027, including cocoa beans and processed cocoa products, expressed in nominal USD billions. Use the first Summary of Economic and Financial Data published after 31 December 2027 that reports the cumulative December 2027 cocoa-export total, under External Sector Developments (Cumulative). Divide the reported million-USD value by 1,000. Freeze that initial publication vintage and ignore subsequent revisions. If that publication series is discontinued or does not report this item, use the first Bank of Ghana monetary-policy report or annual report containing the equivalent full-calendar-2027 cocoa-export receipts. This is the published external-trade value, not COCOBOD sales contracts, loans, producer payments, physical cocoa production, or an assumption that all proceeds have been converted into domestic currency.

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