Stamped snapshot24 Jul 2026, 14:08
This snapshot shows a condensed version of Mantic's analysis — the full breakdown is available in the Mantic app. The live forecast may have changed.
Confirmed measles cases reported in the United States for calendar year 2026
Clarifications: Resolves to the total number of confirmed measles cases reported in the United States for calendar year 2026, as published on the CDC's 'Measles Cases and Outbreaks' page (cdc.gov/measles/data-research) as of the first weekly update published on or after January 15, 2027. The count includes all confirmed cases reported for 2026 across US jurisdictions, including cases among international visitors, matching the headline 'confirmed measles cases reported in the United States in 2026' figure as presented by the CDC.
Published date: Jul 24, 2026 11 AM · Reliable information cutoff date: Jul 24, 2026 9 AM
3.57K
3K
4K
5K
6K
Most likely: 3.57K
50% range
80% range
My most likely prediction for confirmed measles cases in the United States for 2026 is 3,567.56 because kindergarten vaccination rates falling below the 95% herd immunity threshold are fueling record-breaking outbreaks that are expected to intensify with the return of the fall school season.
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