How The New York Times v. OpenAI and Microsoft copyright case ultimately is resolved

I predict a 54% probability that the New York Times copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft will reach a settlement before a trial verdict, driven by mounting litigation costs and the high procedural risk of pending sanctions for evidence destruction.

Resolve to the outcome that best matches the case's final procedural posture. 'Settlement before trial' means the case ends by settlement before any trial verdict is reached. 'Settlement after trial or during appeal' means the parties settle after a trial verdict or while an appeal is pending. 'OpenAI/Microsoft win on fair use' means a final judgment for OpenAI and Microsoft on the merits based on fair use, including any appellate affirmance. 'The New York Times verdict upheld' means The New York Times obtains a verdict or final judgment on the merits and that result is not reversed on appeal. 'Dismissal on other grounds' means the case ends without a merits ruling for either side, including dismissal for lack of standing, jurisdiction, procedural defects, or other non-fair-use grounds.