Global insured losses from natural catastrophes in 2026

My most likely prediction for global insured natural catastrophe losses in 2026 is 100.64 USD billion because a lower-than-average loss total from the first half of the year and a suppression of Atlantic hurricane activity due to El Niño will likely outweigh the impact of rising reconstruction costs and potential Pacific-region weather extremes.

Resolve using the full-year 2026 global insured losses from natural catastrophes as reported or estimated by Swiss Re or Munich Re. Use the single best headline figure for global insured losses in 2026; if both firms publish figures, use the one that is most directly stated as the global annual total or the first one if it is not distinguishable. The amount should be in nominal US dollars and include insured losses from natural catastrophes worldwide.