Stamped snapshot

The US CPI-U beef and veal year-on-year inflation rate for June 2027

This snapshot shows a condensed version of Mantic's analysis — the full breakdown is available in the Mantic app. The live forecast may have changed.

Most likely value

-0.54%

As of 12 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC

Forecast distribution

50%80%

Rationale

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My most likely value for US CPI-U beef and veal year-on-year inflation for June 2027 is −0.5%, because BLS data show seasonally adjusted October 2026 prices were roughly 1.9% below June.

Forecast breakdown

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Forecast record

ScenariosFull access1

1 scenario modelled

The US CPI-U beef and veal year-on-year inflation rate for June 2027

Default mean0.02%
If yes-1.79%If no0.22%

Forecast context

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes a separate CPI-U category for beef and veal. In September 2026 its 12-month increase was 3.5%. USDA's October 2026 cattle outlook discusses domestic production, imports and tariff-free import quotas. Sources: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_10142026.htm and https://ers.usda.gov/topics/animal-products/cattle-beef/market-outlook

Clarifications

Resolves to the 12-month percentage change for June 2027 in the US city average CPI-U category Beef and veal, not seasonally adjusted, as first published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the release covering June 2027. Use the published 12-month change in the relevant CPI table. If that change is not displayed, calculate 100 times (June 2027 index divided by June 2026 index minus 1), using series CUUR0000SEFC and the values available in that first release. Ignore subsequent revisions. This is retail consumer-price inflation for beef and veal, not headline food inflation, wholesale cattle prices, or monthly inflation. If the release is delayed, use it when published; a directly equivalent successor BLS series counts if the series code changes.

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