The US CPI-U beef and veal year-on-year inflation rate for June 2027
This snapshot shows a condensed version of Mantic's analysis — the full breakdown is available in the Mantic app. The live forecast may have changed.
Most likely value
-0.54%
As of 12 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC
Forecast distribution
Rationale
Full accessMy most likely value for US CPI-U beef and veal year-on-year inflation for June 2027 is −0.5%, because BLS data show seasonally adjusted October 2026 prices were roughly 1.9% below June.
Forecast breakdown
Full accessForecast record
ScenariosFull access1
The US CPI-U beef and veal year-on-year inflation rate for June 2027
What will be the status of additional US lean-beef import-quota relief during January-June 2027 · Material additional relief throughout H1 2027
10% chance of this condition
Default: mean 0.02%
50% range: -3.75% to 2.68%. 80% range: -6.62% to 5.93%.
If yes: mean -1.79%
50% range: -5.28% to 0.40%. 80% range: -7.63% to 3.40%.
If no: mean 0.22%
50% range: -3.43% to 2.80%. 80% range: -6.26% to 6.00%.
The US CPI-U beef and veal year-on-year inflation rate for June 2027
The US CPI-U beef and veal year-on-year inflation rate for June 2027
Forecast context
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes a separate CPI-U category for beef and veal. In September 2026 its 12-month increase was 3.5%. USDA's October 2026 cattle outlook discusses domestic production, imports and tariff-free import quotas. Sources: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_10142026.htm and https://ers.usda.gov/topics/animal-products/cattle-beef/market-outlook
Clarifications
Resolves to the 12-month percentage change for June 2027 in the US city average CPI-U category Beef and veal, not seasonally adjusted, as first published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the release covering June 2027. Use the published 12-month change in the relevant CPI table. If that change is not displayed, calculate 100 times (June 2027 index divided by June 2026 index minus 1), using series CUUR0000SEFC and the values available in that first release. Ignore subsequent revisions. This is retail consumer-price inflation for beef and veal, not headline food inflation, wholesale cattle prices, or monthly inflation. If the release is delayed, use it when published; a directly equivalent successor BLS series counts if the series code changes.
Want the full analysis?
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