Stamped snapshot12 Aug 2026, 14:05
This snapshot shows a condensed version of Mantic's analysis — the full breakdown is available in the Mantic app. The live forecast may have changed.
The number of confirmed 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola cases
Clarifications: This question will resolve to the cumulative number of confirmed Ebola cases attributed to the 2026 Bundibugyo virus disease outbreak, according to the latest WHO report released in 2026.
Published Aug 12, 2026 1 PM · Reliable information cutoff date: Aug 12, 2026 11 AM
8K
0
10K
20K
30K
Most likely: 8K
50% range
80% range
My most likely prediction for the number of confirmed 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola cases is 7,999.56 because the current high rate of untraced community transmission and M23-related security barriers are expected to persist despite an anticipated late-year slowdown from Phase 3 vaccine trials and increased international aid.
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