Stamped snapshot9 Sep 2026, 17:42
This snapshot shows a condensed version of Mantic's analysis — the full breakdown is available in the Mantic app. The live forecast may have changed.
The winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
Clarifications: Resolves to the candidate who is officially certified by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) as the winner of Brazil's 2026 presidential election. If a runoff is held, the certified winner after the runoff counts. If no candidate is certified because the election is annulled or otherwise not concluded with a certified winner, or if the certified winner is not one of the named candidates, the answer is 'Another outcome'.
Published Sep 9, 2026 3 PM · Reliable information cutoff date: Sep 9, 2026 1 PM
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
53.2%
Flávio Bolsonaro
43.3%
Ronaldo Caiado
0.4%
Romeu Zema
0.2%
Renan Santos
0.6%
Augusto Cury
1.1%
Another outcome
1.2%
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