Stamped snapshot24 Jul 2026, 06:08
This snapshot shows a condensed version of Mantic's analysis — the full breakdown is available in the Mantic app. The live forecast may have changed.
How many FDIC-insured failed banks are closed in the second half of 2026
Clarifications: This question will resolve as the number of FDIC insured failed banks closed in the second half of 2026, according to the FDIC. It will resolve based on the banks appearing in the list with a closing date between July 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, included.
If this dataset is no longer available, other credible sources may be used as resolution source.
Published date: Jul 24, 2026 5 AM · Reliable information cutoff date: Jul 24, 2026 3 AM
3
5
10
15
Most likely: 3
50% range
80% range
My most likely prediction for the number of failed banks in the second half of 2026 is 3.00, because the two early July closures established a firm floor while a shrinking "Problem Bank List" and strong industry net income suggest only one additional small-scale failure is probable despite rising bankruptcy headwinds.
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