This snapshot shows a condensed version of Mantic's analysis — the full breakdown is available in the Mantic app. The live forecast may have changed.
The # of seats the Republican Party wins in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections
My most likely prediction for the number of seats won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections is 201.43 because record-low presidential approval and a slowing economy are expected to drive significant losses that are only partially offset by structural redistricting advantages.
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The Democratic Party's lead over the Republican Party in the RealClearPolitics average for the 2026 Generic Congressional Vote on October 31, 2026 >= 6 percentage points 36%
The final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for October 2026 >= 50 points 64%
The daily settlement price of the active month WTI crude oil futures contract on October 30, 2026 >= 85 USD per barrel 31%
The U.S. annual inflation rate (CPI YoY) for September 2026 >= 4 % 13%
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